Shane Baz

Shane Baz comes to Baltimore after a full 166-inning season with Tampa Bay — proof that the arm can hold up — but the results were below where he'll need to be: a 4.87 ERA and a 4.37 FIP. His benchmarks pair production with durability: ERA at 3.75 and FIP at 3.75 set a mid-rotation floor, while an IP pace of 140 ensures he's pitching deep enough into games to matter. The ERA and FIP targets are intentionally paired because they tell different stories — ERA captures results, while FIP strips out defense and luck. If both are under 3.75, Baz is pitching like a genuine mid-rotation starter, not just getting lucky.