Mailbag
21 min read
April Mailbag: You Asked, We Dug Into the Data
21 min read Birdland Metrics
Orioles Player Stats
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The Batting Ledger
Every Orioles batter and pitcher (coming soon!), assessed daily. Rolling splits, FanGraphs and Baseball Savant metrics, and our hot-or-cold verdicts. All in one place.
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Analysis
6 min read
2026 AL Standings: Historic Logjam Has 8 Teams Within 2 Wins
6 min read 
Model Update 5 min read
81 Wins and a Coin Flip: What 10,000 Simulations Will Say About the 2026 Orioles
5 min read 
Player Analysis 11 min read
Gunnar Henderson 2026 Outlook: Will the Power Profile Return?
11 min read 
Explainer 5 min read
A Guide to Statistical Stabilization and Regression
5 min read 
General 4 min read
About Birdland Metrics: Data-Driven Orioles Analysis
4 min read Model Explainers
Explainer
MLB ELO Rating Model Explained: How We Project the 2026 Season
A full breakdown of the ELO projection model behind our Orioles playoff odds, win totals, and division standings — methodology, results, and limitations.
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Explainer
Baseball Player Projections: Our Marcel + Statcast Model Explained
How we project Orioles player stats: Marcel baselines, Statcast adjustments, age curves, and in-season blending — plus backtest results and limitations.
Read the full breakdown ›About the Site