
Player Analysis
The $68 Million Question: Why the Orioles are All-In on Shane Baz
Birdland Metrics Contributor·7 min read
Birdland Metrics


A full breakdown of the ELO projection model behind our Orioles playoff odds, win totals, and division standings — methodology, results, and limitations.
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How we project Orioles player stats: Marcel baselines, Statcast adjustments, age curves, and in-season blending — plus backtest results and limitations.
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