
Model Updates
Zach Alexander· 81 min read
No.
We predicted 81 wins. They finished with 79.
View our 2026 Opening Day projection ›Every number that mattered for Baltimore baseball in 2026. Record, batting, pitching, RISP, bullpen, and more.
View Dashboard ›

A full breakdown of the ELO projection model behind our Orioles playoff odds, win totals, and division standings — methodology, results, and limitations.
Read the full breakdown ›
How we project Orioles player stats: Marcel baselines, Statcast adjustments, age curves, and in-season blending — plus backtest results and limitations.
Read the full breakdown ›