Player Analysis
The $68 Million Question: Why the Orioles are All-In on Shane Baz
Birdland Metrics Contributor·7 min read
Birdland Metrics
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Explainer
Harshil Jani7 min read
The Stat Guide: How to Read the Core Player Benchmarks Dashboard
Harshil Jani7 min read
Model Update
Zach Alexander5 min read
81 Wins and a Coin Flip: What 10,000 Simulations Will Say About the 2026 Orioles
Zach Alexander5 min read
Player AnalysisZach Alexander11 min read
Gunnar Henderson 2026 Outlook: Will the Power Profile Return?
Zach Alexander11 min read
ExplainerZach Alexander5 min read
A Guide to Statistical Stabilization and Regression
Zach Alexander5 min read
Player AnalysisZach Alexander11 min read
Adley Rutschman 2026 Outlook: What's Real, What's Noise, and What to Watch
Zach Alexander11 min read
AL EastZach Alexander11 min read
2026 AL East Win Projections: Where do the Orioles Stand?
Zach Alexander11 min read
AnalysisZach Alexander11 min read
ELO vs. FanGraphs Projections: Two Ways to See the 2026 AL East
Zach Alexander11 min read
GeneralZach Alexander4 min read
About Birdland Metrics: Data-Driven Orioles Analysis
Zach Alexander4 min readModel Explainers
Explainer
MLB ELO Rating Model Explained: How We Project the 2026 Season
A full breakdown of the ELO projection model behind our Orioles playoff odds, win totals, and division standings — methodology, results, and limitations.
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Explainer
Baseball Player Projections: Our Marcel + Statcast Model Explained
How we project Orioles player stats: Marcel baselines, Statcast adjustments, age curves, and in-season blending — plus backtest results and limitations.
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