Model

Baseball Player Projections: Our Marcel + Statcast Model Explained

How we project Orioles player stats: Marcel baselines, Statcast adjustments, age curves, and in-season blending — plus backtest results and limitations.

Zach Alexander·Mar 2· 18 min read

Explainer

MLB ELO Rating Model Explained: How We Project the 2026 Season

A full breakdown of the ELO projection model behind our Orioles playoff odds, win totals, and division standings — methodology, results, and limitations.

Zach Alexander·Feb 11· 20 min read

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