Explainer

pete-alonso
Explainer

The Stat Guide: How to Read the Core Player Benchmarks Dashboard

A plain-English guide to every stat on the Birdland Metrics Core Player Benchmarks dashboard, from xWOBA and barrel rate to FIP and K/9. Plus, how our Marcel + Statcast projection model works and when you're actually allowed to panic.

Harshil JaniHarshil Jani·Apr 2· 7 min read
scatterplot
Explainer

A Guide to Statistical Stabilization and Regression

How to separate signal from noise when evaluating baseball performance, using FanGraphs regression methodology and Statcast stabilization research.

Zach AlexanderZach Alexander·Mar 10· 5 min read
opacy-clock
Explainer

Baseball Player Projections: Our Marcel + Statcast Model Explained

How we project Orioles player stats: Marcel baselines, Statcast adjustments, age curves, and in-season blending — plus backtest results and limitations.

Zach AlexanderZach Alexander·Mar 2· 18 min read
race-tracker-cover
Explainer

MLB ELO Rating Model Explained: How We Project the 2026 Season

A full breakdown of the ELO projection model behind our Orioles playoff odds, win totals, and division standings — methodology, results, and limitations.

Zach AlexanderZach Alexander·Feb 11· 20 min read

Never Miss a Metric

Subscribe to Birdland Metrics and get projections, analysis, and insights delivered to your inbox.