Explainer
A Guide to Statistical Stabilization and Regression
How to separate signal from noise when evaluating baseball performance, using FanGraphs regression methodology and Statcast stabilization research.
Explainer
Explainer
Baseball Player Projections: Our Marcel + Statcast Model Explained
How we project Orioles player stats: Marcel baselines, Statcast adjustments, age curves, and in-season blending — plus backtest results and limitations.
Explainer
MLB ELO Rating Model Explained: How We Project the 2026 Season
A full breakdown of the ELO projection model behind our Orioles playoff odds, win totals, and division standings — methodology, results, and limitations.
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