
AL East
2026 AL East Win Projections: Where do the Orioles Stand?
Daily win projections for all five AL East teams from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Track how standings and playoff odds shift all season.

Daily win projections for all five AL East teams from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Track how standings and playoff odds shift all season.

Our model says Yankees 88, Orioles 81. FanGraphs says Yankees 87, Orioles 84. Both are right — they're just answering different questions.

The Orioles had a productive offseason by every measure — but the gap between track record and projection tells a nuanced story about the roster's risk.
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