
Analysis
ELO vs. FanGraphs Projections: Two Ways to See the 2026 AL East
Our model says Yankees 88, Orioles 81. FanGraphs says Yankees 87, Orioles 84. Both are right — they're just answering different questions.

Our model says Yankees 88, Orioles 81. FanGraphs says Yankees 87, Orioles 84. Both are right — they're just answering different questions.

The Orioles had a productive offseason by every measure — but the gap between track record and projection tells a nuanced story about the roster's risk.
Subscribe to Birdland Metrics and get projections, analysis, and insights delivered to your inbox.